Some things I like about the new recipes:
I like that the below-UR transmutes require monster ingredient tokens instead of giving the option of monster ingredient tokens or GP.
I like that at least one of the recipes gave the option of using 2019 monster bits as well as 2018 monster bits. Maybe more of them should give that option, since the transmutes can be made for two years.
I like that the Bead Recipe is as expected, without any additional things added in (like Golden Fleece).
I like that the Bead Recipe is still referred to as "4C", from the old Combo token days.
I like the current Charm of Treasure Boosting and Enchanter's Wetstone recipes, I think they are scaled appropriately to their power.
I like that there will be six different monster ingredient tokens instead of four. It makes sense since we are going to three unique new Dungeons per year, and also to help burn through monster ingredient tokens.
I like that Jeff is going to announce the recipes for future multi-year UR transmutes at the start of the process, so people wanting to transmute them know exactly what they'll need. I'd recommend the same be done at the start of a story arc / 4C token cycle (next year), and I'd recommend that the recipe for the Tooth of Cavadar be announced now as well.
Constructive Changes I would Recommend:
Most importantly, the Kilt shouldn't have a Golden Fleece requirement. I think monster token / Golden Fleece increases on the other recipes are fair game, but I think the Kilt and Bead should have recipes that are consistent with the recipes of past Eldritch recipes and 4C recipes respectively. People have been preparing to make these transmutes for years assuming the recipes would be consistent with past similar recipes, and I think in good faith they should be. It's fine increasing the recipes for future similar tokens going forward, if the changes in recipes are announced at the start. It must be possible to get the required amount of additional Golden Fleece in recipes without adding one to the Kilt.
Maybe add a monster ingredient or two, from 2018 or 2019, to Canteen of Quaffing.
Belt of Ogre Mage Power: I think this recipe should be made more expensive, since this is a direct equivalent to the UR Girdle of Hill Giant Strength. Maybe require 3 or 4 monster ingredient tokens instead of just one.
Maybe make the alternate Widseth recipe closer to the alternate CoA Recipe. Have it require one each of the four UR instruments plus trade tokens and GP. Given the secondary market prices for some of those URs, that seems pretty balanced.
Transmuted Tokens I'll probably get:
I'll transmute a bunch of the Beads and Kilts, as I've been preparing for years to do multiples of both. I'll be doing a lot less than planned though if the Kilt keeps the Golden Fleece requirement.
I might do some Canteens of quaffing for my group. Currently the only Figurines of Power our group is using are Phoenix, but since we won't have to show these to the DM (letting me put them in the binders instead of carrying them in the token wallets to show DMs), I think it's a good option for us.
I would probably have transmuted a few Charm of Treasure Boosting tokens, but I doubt I'll have any monster ingredient tokens left over for that.
I might transmute one Shaman Relic for myself, or I might just stick to the UR Belt. I don't think I'll be transmuting any of the other Relic or Legendary tokens.
Regarding having Golden Fleece for sale in my shop, I do have three and I'd thought I did have them listed, but see that I didn't (I think my Trade Item section is in need of update). I'm glad now that they weren't listed though, as I'll be using them for my own transmuting. I'll probably suspend selling any monster ingredient tokens as well until I see how these recipes end up.